Volume 129, 15 August 2016, Pages 556–564
- Georg-August-University Göttingen, Department of Agricultural Economics and Rural Development, Platz der Göttinger Sieben 5, 37073 Göttingen, Germany
- Received 10 March 2015, Revised 29 March 2016, Accepted 31 March 2016, Available online 12 April 2016
Highlights
- •
- Very few studies exist on the effects of biogas production on the socio-economics.
- •
- Using a system dynamics model, the effects on jobs and added value are projected.
- •
- There is a positive regional effect on employment and added value due to biogas.
- •
- In the majority of the areas there is a potential for further biogas production.
- •
- Future biogas production will not be able to stop agricultural structural change.
Abstract
In
recent years, biogas production capacity has been greatly enlarged in
Germany. Whereas negative effects of this development, for example in
increased land lease prices, have been well documented, very few
research studies exist on the positive effects of biogas production on
the socio-economics of rural areas. This study of the German state of
Lower Saxony provides such information. Using a system dynamics model,
the effects of increased biogas production on employment and added value
in rural areas are projected for three different scenarios and six
regions in Lower Saxony. A further step determines the further potential
for enlargement of biogas production and to what extent this potential
development would improve the socio-economic position of the regions
under analysis. The results show that considerable changes occur
regarding the employment level. Additionally, in the majority of areas
within the regions there is a significant potential for further
development of biogas production, which would likewise be reflected in
the effects of added value and employment opportunities. This study
reveals a differentiated view on the regional economic effects of biogas
production. It also provides valuable information for further
considerations about the potential construction of additional biogas
plants and enhanced possibilities to switch a region's energy supply
towards renewable bio-based energies.
Keywords
- Biogas production;
- Input–output analysis;
- Potential analysis;
- Employment opportunities;
- Added value
© 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.