twitter

Friday, 1 May 2015

Beyond ‘deniers’ and ‘believers’: Towards a map of the politics of climate change

Volume 32, May 2015, Pages 165–174

Beyond ‘deniers’ and ‘believers’: Towards a map of the politics of climate change


Highlights

Categories in climate politics debate are hangovers from climate science debates.
Existing frameworks in climate politology are critically reviewed.
A new map of climate politics beyond the scientific debate is offered.
Two dimensions are proposed: wicked/tame problem and individual/collective solutions.
Aims to defuse politicisation of science and re-politicise climate policy choices.

Abstract

The politics of climate change is not concerned solely with rival scientific claims about global warming but also with how best to govern the climate. Despite this, categories in climate politics remain caught up in the concepts of the ‘science wars’, rarely progressing far beyond the denier/believer-dichotomy. This article aims to nudge climate politics beyond the polarized scientific debates while also counteracting the de-politicisation that comes from assuming scientific claims lead directly to certain policies. First existing typologies of climate political positions are reviewed. Diverse contributions make up an emerging field of ‘climate politology’ but these tend to reduce climate politics either to views on the science or to products of cultural world-views. Drawing on policy analysis literature, a new approach is outlined, where problem-definitions and solution-framings provide the coordinates for a two-dimensional grid. The degree to which climate change is considered a ‘wicked’ problem on the one hand, and individualist or collectivist ways of understanding political agency on the other, provide a map of climate political positions beyond ‘believers’ vs ‘deniers’.

Keywords

  • Climate change;
  • Discourse;
  • Systems theory;
  • Wicked problems;
  • Cultural theory;
  • Problem-definition

1. Introduction

With its origins in climate science, the issue of climate change has often been considered in ‘narrowly technical and reductionistic terms’ (Demeritt, 2001, p. 312). Until the mid 2000s western media typically reported it ‘as an evenly balanced debate between apparently expert groups who were “believers” or “deniers”’ (Boykoff and Smith, 2010, p. 5) in ‘the science’. This dichotomy, although it never reflected the complexity of the debate, coexists increasingly awkwardly with a much wider debate about what to do about climate change and how to engineer major organisational and societal changes. One observer even suggests that the denier–believer debate is being replaced by a debate about policy: ‘politicians who flatly reject climate science are now being replaced by climate policy sceptics’ (Hickman, 2013). Though ‘denialism’ persists, a great debate on how to govern the climate – what measures to use, precisely what goal to have, how to deal with effects of climate change and which policy instruments to choose – has long been in train. The global climate is not just a scientific object but also a governance-object (Corry, 2010 and Corry, 2013).
Despite this, the vocabulary used to identify climate political stances still rarely goes far beyond ‘sceptic’ and ‘believer’—categories rooted in the debate about the veracity of scientific claims. Introductions to global warming usually side-step the politics, refer to those ‘skeptical’ or ‘supportive’ of the idea that humans are to blame (e.g. Maslin, 2008, p. 35) or only briefly touch on the ‘politics of greenhouse’ (Pittlock, 2009, p. 270). Policy literature typically covers physical climatology, economics and sometimes institutions, without elaborating on how ideologies or political dynamics might influence preferences and choices (e.g. Helm and Hepburn, 2009, Richardson et al., 2011, Stern, 2007 and IPCC, 2001). Studies of public opinion on climate change similarly track attitudes to global warming (e.g. Brechin, 2010) but focus mainly on whether scientific claims are believed and how seriously global warming is viewed (see also Leiserowitz et al., 2006 and Whitmarsh, 2011). More rare is survey data gauging support for specific policies such as taxation on energy and other forms of possible government action on climate change (Leiserowitz, 2006 and Nisbet and Myers, 2007). One report suggested a six-fold division between the alarmed, concerned, cautious, disengaged doubtful and dismissive segments of American society (Maibach et al., 2009). However, this amounts to a more detailed breakdown of the same sceptic–believer continuum, reacting to ‘the science’. Similarly, media studies have looked at how the media frame climate change, e.g. through rival ‘scientific uncertainty’ and ‘climate crisis’-framings (Nisbet, 2009) that also revolve around trust in scientific claims. Others have examined how such framings of climate science play into familiar political cleavages, e.g. between Republicans and Democrats in the US (Boykoff, 2011, McCright and Dunlap, 2011a and Jenkins, 2011).
The politics surrounding the practice of climate science has not been ignored. Science and Technology Studies examines the ‘scientisation’ of climate politics (Demeritt, 2001, Van der Sluijs et al., 1998 and Van der Sluijs et al., 2010) as well as the politicisation of climate science including the role of right wing groups and US-based think tanks contesting scientific claims (Oreskes and Conway, 2010 and Hoggan, 2009, see also McCright and Dunlap, 2011b). International Relations scholars have offered typologies of different diplomatic stances, e.g. being ‘leaders, pushers and laggards’ in relation to a global agreement (Andresen and Agrawala, 2002), have analysed the role of actors such as the EU (e.g. Oberthür and Kelly, 2008 and Bäckstrand and Elgström, 2013) or pointed to factors determining state stances. How do global political economy and national interests affect which states and non-state actors group together behind certain policies (e.g. Newell, 2006, p. 166)? Stripple and Bulkeley (2013) have expanded the purview of the study of international climate politics by collating analyses of governmental techniques designed to govern carbon and populations through regimes of knowledge and Corry (2013) argues that the emergence of the global climate as a governable object has a structuring effect on world politics as a whole.
Nevertheless, despite an ever-widening field, more often than not climate political reporting and analysis is strangely reticent on the variety of positions and the structure of political debate relating to governing climate change (exceptions are covered below). While the denier–believer debate still has serious political implications (see O’Neill and Boykoff, 2010 and Hoffman, 2011), reducing the politics of climate change to this obscures some important issues and leads to a contradiction. On the one hand understanding the politics of climate change with the compass of the scientific debate imports the polarisations of the ‘science wars’ to the policy arena. For some groups, climate change policies are ‘invented by self-interested and unpatriotic scientists and activists’ (McCarthy, 2013, p. 23). At the same time a post-political framing conceals the politics involved, casting climate policy as a ‘global humanitarian cause’ that somehow flows logically from ‘the science’ (Swyngedouw, 2010, p. 217). The paradox of consensus politics coexisting with science wars could thus be two sides of the same coin: ‘the political nature of matters of concern is disavowed to the extent that the facts in themselves are elevated, through a short-circuiting procedure, on to the terrain of the political’ (Swyngedouw, 2010, p. 217, see also Machin, 2013).
This reflects a wider tendency in environmental political commentary to underestimate the ‘ideological and social theoretical underpinnings of the environmental debate’ (Manno, 2004, p. 156). For Hulme ‘disagreements about climate change are as likely to reveal conflicts within and between societies about the ideologies that we carry and promote, as they are to be rooted in contrary readings of the scientific evidence’ (Hulme, 2009, p. 33) and eck argued that ‘climate politics is precisely not about climate but about transforming the basic concepts and institutions of (...) industrial, nation-state modernity’ (Beck, 2010, p. 356). Yet categories and shorthands originating in the science debate continue to signpost positions on climate politics.
This article responds to this problem in three steps. In Section 2 we review existing typologies of positions in the politics of climate change. We ask what categories they offer and identify the key questions they organize their accounts of climate politics around. Bringing these together depicts the emerging field of ‘climate politiology’ and its key challenges. Section 3 prepares the ground for a new map of climate policy positions, indentifying two dimensions relating to problem-definition and solution-framing: how ‘wicked’ the problem is viewed, and the degree to which individualistic/holistic perspectives underpin solution-definitions. A final section briefly assesses the new map in terms of what it tells us about the limits and focus of the existing typologies, what aspects of the politics of climate change have been overlooked by the sceptic–believer dichotomy and how the simultaneous politicisation of science and de-politicisation of policy can be challenged.