Volume 69, 1 October 2016, Pages 276-283

(Article)

Abstract

Bats are considered important bioindicators and deliver key ecosystem services to humans. However, it is not clear how the individual and combined effects of climate change and land-use change will affect their conservation in the future. We used a spatial conservation prioritization framework to determine future shifts in the priority areas for the conservation of 169 bat species under projected climate and land-use change scenarios across Africa. Specifically, we modelled species distribution models under four different climate change scenarios at the 2050 horizon. We used land-use change scenarios within the spatial conservation prioritization framework to assess habitat quality in areas where bats may shift their distributions. Overall, bats' representation within already existing protected areas in Africa was low (∼5% of their suitable habitat in protected areas which cover ∼7% of Africa). Accounting for future land-use change resulted in the largest shift in spatial priority areas for conservation actions, and species representation within priority areas for conservation actions decreased by ∼9%. A large proportion of spatial conservation priorities will shift from forested areas with little disturbance under present conditions to agricultural areas in the future. Planning land use to reduce impacts on bats in priority areas outside protected areas where bats will be shifting their ranges in the future is crucial to enhance their conservation and maintain the important ecosystem services they provide to humans. © 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Author keywords

Africa; Chiroptera; Climate change; Connectivity; Conservation; Land-use change; Zonation

Indexed keywords

Engineering controlled terms: Climate models; Conservation; Ecology; Ecosystems; Environmental protection; Forestry; Land use; Population distribution

Africa; Chiroptera; Connectivity; Land-use change; Zonation

Engineering main heading: Climate change

Species Index: Chiroptera

ISSN: 1470160XSource Type: Journal Original language: English

DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolind.2016.04.039Document Type: Article

Publisher: Elsevier

Funding Details

Number; Acronym; Sponsor: 260393; ERC; National Research Foundation
Number; Sponsor: 84141; National Research Foundation

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Saturday, 21 May 2016

Synergistic effects of climate and land-use change on representation of African bats in priority conservation areas

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